Baseball Odds

Baseball Odds

MLB Betting – Mistakes to Avoid

Sports betting online experts will tell you that 2012 March Madness betting and betting on MLB games have a lot in common. There are tips you can use for betting on MLB that can apply to just about any bet you will place. But there are also things that are very specific to baseball that every baseball betting enthusiast should keep a very close eye on. When you are getting ready to bet on baseball, be sure you follow the ground rules.

Never Bet with Emotion

Just because you love the Boston Red Sox does not mean that the Red Sox will be going 162-0 this season. Remember that betting on baseball games means taking the spread into account. Even if the Red Sox have a winning season, you could still lose because Boston could not cover the spread in most of their games. You need to have a system in place for betting games based on statistics that you can read and then stick with that system when betting. Do not let your emotions get the best of you.

Start with the Pitcher

The fact that a team has a new kid that can really hit the ball is nice for newspaper headlines. But when you bet on MLB baseball, you need to start with the pitcher. You also need to read more than just the pitcher’s official record and ERA for the season. How many games did the team win when that pitcher started a game? That will be different than the official number of wins. How many runs does that pitcher really allow every time he stepped on the mound? That number will be different than the official ERA. You can find sites that track the important pitcher stats or keep them yourself as the season wears on. Serious bettors start betting baseball games at the pitcher’s mound and then work their way out to the rest of the field.

 

MLB Betting: Staying with the Home Team

Sports betting enthusiasts are always looking for the newest system that will get them a higher winning percentage. NFL football can be a tough game to bet because determining patterns with so few games played can be difficult. The NBA and NHL offer a different kind of challenge as these contact sports can often suffer losing streaks based on injuries that seem to occur on a regular basis. But MLB baseball teams seem to be able to follow patterns more consistently. You need to be careful because MLB betting requires a very long term approach which means that teams tend to fall off or pick up pace towards the end of the season. But during the year, there are some streaks that can be cataloged and used for betting purposes.

The Superbowl betting experts work in baseball as well and they have noticed that a home team that is at .500 and is the favorite in a particular game tends to win that game at least 50 percent of the time. The team at .500 has shown that it is winning as much as it is losing and is putting together streaks of wins. Baseball teams tend to play better at home, so a team that is playing at .500 is more apt to put together a home winning streak than a road streak.

If that home team loses the first game you bet, then you may still be able to get your money back. It is very risky, but some bettors that lose a bet on the .500 home team in the first game will double up in the second game and get their money back. When bettors do this, the winning percentage is also high. But you will need to determine if the risk is worth the potential reward in this case.

 

MLB Betting: Key Stats to Use in MLB Betting

Sports betting experts use a variety of stats and a range of systems to try and make the best possible MLB bets. Baseball is a game of numbers and the chances that one team will beat another is all tied up in how you perceive those numbers. There are two important statistics you should look at with baseball along with exploring other stats related to them. Those stats are a pitcher’s WHIP and the amount of runs a team scores per game.

The Superbowl betting and MLB sports experts know about the WHIP statistic while many casual bettors are unfamiliar with it. The WHIP is the measurement of walks and hits per inning pitched. It tells you how many runners a pitcher puts on base per game. The pitcher’s ERA will give you a general idea of how many of those runners tend to score. But remember that the ERA is only earned runs and disregards walks. That is why the WHIP together with the ERA can give you a good idea of how well a pitcher performs.

MLB fans love watching runs being scored. Bettors know that a team’s ability to score runs is a consistent thing. The stat that you compare to the WHIP and ERA is the average number of runs scored by a team in a game. That is computed by dividing the number of runs scored by games played. Remember to take injuries into account when using this stat. A team that has experienced a lot of injuries late in the season will not have the same scoring ability that it did when the roster was healthy.

 

MLB Betting: Figuring Out Batting Average

People who bet on sports often like to have systems in place for figuring their own statistics and use those stats in their picks. The batting average for a major league baseball player is a very important statistic that pay per head sportsbook experts use to determine the consistency with which a batter hits the ball. But you can figure your own batting averages for MLB players and use your own system to predict how well a batter will do in any situation.

To compute a MLB batting average you simply divide the number of hits by the number of at-bats a player has. But the official batting averages issued by the league are often disregarded by bettors because of the definition of an at-bat. A sacrifice hit, catcher interference, walk and hit by a pitch situation is not considered an at-bat. Many bettors disregard the official batting averages and calculate their own to use in their betting systems.

By using raw statistics, you can determine your own batting average for each player and then figure your own situational statistics as well. You can determine how a batter fares against various pitchers, or how a batter produces in clutch situations. For example, if you believe that the sacrifice hit should be included as an at-bat and a hit for a player (as many bettors do), then you can use that to develop your own statistics for how well a batter performs when there are men on base or men in scoring position. It helps you to develop a betting system that works for you.

 

MLB Overnight Lines

Sports betting experts know that the best bets on MLB games are overnight lines. Some people like to wait until just prior to a game to place a bet because they feel that knowing each lineup card will increase their chances of winning. But there is more than enough information available to the average price per head bookie customer 24 hours prior to a ball game that makes overnight lines a good bet.

Let’s say that the Toronto Blue Jays are playing the Boston Red Sox in June. The day before the game you already know the weather forecast for game day, the starting pitchers, the umpire crew and the basic lineup card. When you know the starting pitchers, you can make an educated guess at the lineup for each team. The only time it can be difficult to predict umpire crews is in the first game of a series. But if the series is two or three games in, then you know the umpire rotation and you know who will be behind the plate.

With this much information available, it makes sense to take advantage of the overnight lines and make your bet the day before. If the starting pitchers change, then your bet if voided. But if everything stays as it should, then your overnight lines bet can be a much more lucrative venture than waiting until the last moment when the lineups are released. Do your homework and don’t wait until the last minute to make your MLB bets.

 
  • «
  •  Start 
  •  Prev 
  •  1 
  •  2 
  •  3 
  •  4 
  •  5 
  •  6 
  •  7 
  •  8 
  •  9 
  •  10 
  •  Next 
  •  End 
  • »
Page 1 of 13
Banner
Banner

Live Lines

Choose Your Sport
Teams Spread Money Over &
Under